Trend Following Swing Strategy

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Trend Following Swing Strategy

The Trend Following Swing Strategy focuses on capturing short-term trading opportunities within strong long-term trends.

The core principle is simple:

Trade only in stocks that are already showing strong momentum

Instead of trading every signal in the market, this approach filters high-quality trending stocks first, and then executes swing trades within them.

Strategy Logic

When a stock breaks out on a long-term chart (All-Time High / Multi-Year Breakout), it enters a phase of:

  • Strong upside momentum
  • Sustained trend
  • Institutional participation

This trend often continues until the momentum weakens or breaks.

Short-term buy signals have a higher probability of success when they occur in stocks that are already in a strong uptrend.

Multi-Timeframe Approach

This strategy is built on a two-step process:

1. Higher Timeframe (Stock Selection)

We first identify strong momentum stocks using:

  • Point & Figure Chart
  • Box Size: 1%
  • Reversal Size: 3
  • Timeframe: Daily
  • Bullish Turtle Breakout

What is a Bullish Turtle Breakout?

A Bullish Turtle Breakout occurs when the current column of Xs exceeds the highest X formed in the previous five columns.

This indicates that:

  • Demand is overpowering supply

Summary:

Trend first, trade second

This strategy is not about trading more it is about trading better.

By combining:

  • Higher timeframe trend identification
  • Lower timeframe execution precision

Aim is to:

Align with momentum.
Improve trade quality.
Build consistency over time.

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